The digital age has given rise to a new type of criminal: the cybercriminal. From global hideouts, often beyond the effective reach of police, these shadowy digital skullduggers for years have been hacking into critical infrastructure, hospitals and businesses, causing damage and losses into the billions. However, as it turns out, cybercriminals, like all criminals, are getting craftier. And now, investigators aren’t just going after these criminals with conventional weapons for the job; they’re trolling them.
The latest approaches have been more focused on psychological warfare, attempting to penetrate and erode networks by inciting internal distrust through formative deployments. In this vein, the US Marshals Service initiated a programme in 2006 known as ‘Leaders Against Gang member’s efforts (LAGERS)’, for the purpose of ‘placing information about gangs into kids and their families’.
Among them was Operation Cronos, a US-led operation against the ransomware gang LockBit. In it, the investigators tricked the group into accepting a piece of malware that they had developed, allowing them to take control of its systems and out its members to the wider world. The tactic undermined LockBit’s operations but it also ruined its brand in the shadows, turning off potential allies and customers.
This new frontier prods criminals all the way into a state of paranoia and distrust that seriously frustrates their business. Personalised messages from the police that explain exactly what information they have about the individual also seem to add significant friction to their activities. The combination of traditional cyber-defence and psychological operations techniques in the police holds out the promise of a more nuanced strategy in the battle against crime in cyber-space.
This form of attacking criminality at the root of the trust binding it together has had success beyond LockBit. Elsewhere, the UK’s Metropolitan Police sent out personalised videos to users of a phishing service – a clever effort to remind people they were being watched. Putting a creative edge on enforcement practices represents a larger shift in the direction of psychological operations in cybersecurity.
Trust is a hard currency in the shady world of cybercrime, where peers can’t be sure what they know about one another is even relatively true. Criminals are fundamentally suspicious of one another as they might double-cross them for the right price. This is why the law enforcement community is now taking advantage of the lack of trust between criminals, attempting to drive wedges between these inherently fragile alliances, making collaboration more difficult and risky.
Curiously, these same operations have at times led to a resentment among cybercriminals at a perceived lack of credit for their contributions, even to the point where one interviewee felt insulted after the FBI shared an anonymised version of his logs with the press. Neutered by the fear of outing and exposed to the possibility of their data or technical know-how being used against them, such profiling could even drive hackers to take greater risks.
As the fight against cybercrime continues, there’s no question that psychological operations are going to become increasingly important. Sustained efforts are underway to deeply probe further the weaknesses in human psychology to try to prevent, disrupt and dismantle criminal groups. FBI and Europol works aim to keep the criminals guessing, wondering who’s with them and who’s against them, and fearful of exposure: this should, they hope, create a deterrent that is going to be as strong – or even stronger – than any technical fix.
These are the edges, where cybercriminals are now balanced – one foot in security, the other in exposure; one in trust, the other in betrayal; one in anonymity, the other in fame. And it’s here, on this edge, that law enforcement is now probing, wielding both technological prowess and psychological savvy. The fight against cyber threats will continue to change shape, and the edge will be the next battleground for the security community. The edge represents the next frontier of cybersecurity – a psychological space where minds are just as important as machines, and where the psychological advantage might make the difference between safety and calamity.
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